Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Metz
MET
Montpellier
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Metz31%
Draw28%
Montpellier41%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.39
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–08.9%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Metz will not mind.
52%Possession65%
29%Territory37%
24%From set plays44%
0.10Chance quality0.10
9.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Metz, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.