Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Guingamp
GUI
Clermont Foot
CLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp60%
Draw24%
Clermont Foot17%
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.88
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 2–010.9%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession52%
41%Territory38%
4%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 3 for Clermont Foot. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Clermont Foot
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.