Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Guingamp
GUI
Clermont Foot
CLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp54%
Draw25%
Clermont Foot22%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.07
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Clermont Foot will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.
46%Possession60%
30%Territory29%
30%From set plays14%
0.16Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 3 for Clermont Foot. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.