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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22

Grenoble

GRE

Rodez

ROD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grenoble30%
Draw24%
Rodez45%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.79

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Grenoble will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.

44%Possession31%
30%Territory33%
44%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness10.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.