Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Dunkerque
DUN
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque41%
Draw27%
Nancy32%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.29
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy will have the ball; Dunkerque will not mind.
41%Possession54%
29%Territory44%
7%From set plays46%
0.07Chance quality0.09
7.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 3 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.