Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Dunkerque
DUN
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque39%
Draw27%
Nancy33%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.33
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession53%
31%Territory37%
30%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 2 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.