Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Boulogne
BOU
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boulogne22%
Draw24%
Saint-Étienne55%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.84
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–28.7%
- 1–36.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Saint-Étienne will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
40%Possession52%
30%Territory36%
22%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.