Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Boulogne
BOU
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boulogne28%
Draw32%
Saint-Étienne40%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.15
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.4%
- 0–013.8%
- 1–113.4%
- 1–011.4%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Saint-Étienne will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
41%Possession57%
37%Territory44%
31%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.08
7.6%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.