Ligue 2 · Matchweek 21
Rodez
ROD
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez37%
Draw25%
Guingamp38%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.63
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Guingamp will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.
31%Possession45%
33%Territory41%
12%From set plays4%
0.12Chance quality0.12
10.5%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 97 matches, not the full season.