Ligue 2 · Matchweek 21
Nantes
NAN
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nantes41%
Draw28%
Boulogne31%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.22
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nantes will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
58%Possession40%
43%Territory30%
26%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nantes, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.