Ligue 2 · Matchweek 21
Nancy
NAC
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy29%
Draw28%
Red Star43%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.46
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession52%
44%Territory33%
46%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.15
4.5%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nancy, 3 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.