Ligue 2 · Matchweek 21
Montpellier
MON
Reims
REI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier44%
Draw26%
Reims30%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.28
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Reims will not mind.
65%Possession46%
37%Territory29%
44%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.