Ligue 2 · Matchweek 21
Dijon
DIJ
Grenoble
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dijon38%
Draw26%
Grenoble37%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.55
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.3%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession40%
31%Territory27%
16%From set plays6%
0.15Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness10.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dijon, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.