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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 21

Clermont Foot

CLE

Laval

LAV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Clermont Foot47%
Draw27%
Laval26%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.10

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 1011.5%
  • 219.3%
  • 008.2%
  • 018.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

60%Possession60%
29%Territory44%
14%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.