Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20
Rodez
ROD
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez52%
Draw24%
Nantes24%
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.22
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nantes will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.
31%Possession47%
33%Territory34%
12%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.11
10.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.