Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20
Rodez
ROD
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez49%
Draw24%
Nantes27%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.38
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession58%
49%Territory43%
36%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.