Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20
Reims
REI
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reims43%
Draw28%
Nancy30%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.17
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession53%
27%Territory37%
21%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Reims, 2 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.