Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20
Red Star
RED
Montpellier
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star47%
Draw28%
Montpellier26%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.06
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–012.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.9%
- 0–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Red Star will not mind.
52%Possession65%
33%Territory37%
17%From set plays44%
0.15Chance quality0.10
3.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Red Star, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.