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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20

Metz

MET

Annecy FC

ANN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Metz32%
Draw24%
Annecy FC43%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.77

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Metz will have the ball; Annecy FC will not mind.

58%Possession39%
39%Territory30%
20%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.13
8.4%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Metz, 3 for Annecy FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.