Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20
Metz
MET
Annecy FC
ANN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Metz30%
Draw26%
Annecy FC43%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.59
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession52%
29%Territory34%
24%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.12
9.7%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Metz, 3 for Annecy FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.