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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20

Laval

LAV

Dijon

DIJ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Laval43%
Draw24%
Dijon33%

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.56

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

59%Possession57%
39%Territory42%
46%From set plays28%
0.14Chance quality0.15
5.4%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 4 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.