Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20
Guingamp
GUI
Dunkerque
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp59%
Draw20%
Dunkerque21%
Expected goals
2.31 – 1.37
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.2%
- 3–17.0%
- 2–06.9%
- 1–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Guingamp get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession41%
30%Territory29%
30%From set plays7%
0.16Chance quality0.07
6.8%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.