Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20
Guingamp
GUI
Dunkerque
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp50%
Draw24%
Dunkerque25%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.27
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dunkerque will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.
45%Possession56%
41%Territory31%
4%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.1%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.