Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20
Grenoble
GRE
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble20%
Draw23%
Saint-Étienne57%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.90
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–36.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Saint-Étienne will have the ball; Grenoble will not mind.
40%Possession52%
27%Territory36%
6%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.13
10.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.