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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20

Grenoble

GRE

Saint-Étienne

SAI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grenoble18%
Draw24%
Saint-Étienne58%

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.81

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.2%
  • 1–110.9%
  • 0–210.3%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Saint-Étienne will have the ball; Grenoble will not mind.

44%Possession57%
30%Territory44%
44%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.