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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20

Boulogne

BOU

Clermont Foot

CLE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Boulogne38%
Draw31%
Clermont Foot31%

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.02

Over 2.5

37%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.5%
  • 1013.3%
  • 0012.9%
  • 0111.5%
  • 217.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Clermont Foot will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.

40%Possession60%
30%Territory29%
22%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.0%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 3 for Clermont Foot. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.