Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Sochaux
SOC
Reims
REI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux26%
Draw26%
Reims49%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.69
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession53%
30%Territory23%
15%From set plays21%
0.05Chance quality0.23
6.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.