Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Sochaux
SOC
Reims
REI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux30%
Draw25%
Reims44%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.68
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.3%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession46%
29%Territory29%
12%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sochaux
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.