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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19

Red Star

RED

Laval

LAV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Red Star64%
Draw20%
Laval16%

Expected goals

2.27 – 1.09

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.8%
  • 209.0%
  • 118.7%
  • 108.5%
  • 317.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval will have the ball; Red Star will not mind.

52%Possession60%
33%Territory44%
17%From set plays31%
0.15Chance quality0.09
3.6%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Red Star, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.