Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Red Star
RED
Laval
LAV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star45%
Draw29%
Laval26%
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.99
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.9%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession59%
37%Territory39%
17%From set plays46%
0.06Chance quality0.14
5.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Red Star, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Red Star
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.