Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Nantes
NAN
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nantes28%
Draw28%
Guingamp44%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.48
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nantes get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession45%
34%Territory41%
31%From set plays4%
0.11Chance quality0.12
6.1%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nantes, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.