Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Nancy
NAC
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy39%
Draw32%
Boulogne28%
Expected goals
1.12 – 0.92
Over 2.5
33%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.6%
- 0–014.5%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–111.8%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession41%
37%Territory37%
15%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nancy, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.