Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Nancy
NAC
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy42%
Draw29%
Boulogne28%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.05
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
54%Possession40%
44%Territory30%
46%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nancy, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.