Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Montpellier
MON
Rodez
ROD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier51%
Draw23%
Rodez26%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.35
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–06.9%
- 2–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.
61%Possession31%
30%Territory33%
7%From set plays12%
0.15Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.