Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Montpellier
MON
Rodez
ROD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier49%
Draw26%
Rodez25%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.14
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.
65%Possession53%
37%Territory49%
44%From set plays36%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.