Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Dijon
DIJ
Clermont Foot
CLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dijon57%
Draw22%
Clermont Foot20%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.16
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession52%
42%Territory38%
28%From set plays13%
0.15Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Dijon, 3 for Clermont Foot. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Clermont Foot
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.