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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18

Rodez

ROD

Annecy FC

ANN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rodez35%
Draw25%
Annecy FC39%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.60

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 128.5%
  • 218.0%
  • 017.5%
  • 107.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession52%
49%Territory34%
36%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Annecy FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.