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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18

Rodez

ROD

Annecy FC

ANN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rodez38%
Draw24%
Annecy FC37%

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.70

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

68%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

31%Possession39%
33%Territory30%
12%From set plays8%
0.12Chance quality0.13
10.5%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Annecy FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Annecy FC

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.