Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Reims
REI
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reims37%
Draw25%
Red Star39%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.69
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession52%
29%Territory33%
21%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.15
5.0%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reims, 3 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.