Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Reims
REI
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reims41%
Draw30%
Red Star30%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.08
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession53%
27%Territory37%
21%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.06
7.2%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Reims, 2 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Red Star
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.