Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Guingamp
GUI
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp55%
Draw23%
Nancy22%
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.17
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession54%
30%Territory44%
30%From set plays46%
0.16Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 3 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.