Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Guingamp
GUI
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp45%
Draw28%
Nancy27%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.11
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.6%
- 0–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession50%
41%Territory36%
4%From set plays43%
0.12Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 3 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.