Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Grenoble
GRE
Montpellier
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble25%
Draw26%
Montpellier50%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.68
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.2%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Grenoble will not mind.
44%Possession61%
30%Territory30%
44%From set plays7%
0.10Chance quality0.15
6.8%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.