Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Grenoble
GRE
Montpellier
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble29%
Draw30%
Montpellier40%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.24
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–113.2%
- 0–011.8%
- 1–010.6%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Grenoble will not mind.
40%Possession65%
27%Territory37%
6%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.10
10.1%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.