Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Dunkerque
DUN
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque51%
Draw25%
Nantes24%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.15
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dunkerque will have the ball; Nantes will not mind.
56%Possession47%
31%Territory34%
30%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.7%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.