Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Dunkerque
DUN
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque46%
Draw25%
Nantes29%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.37
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nantes will have the ball; Dunkerque will not mind.
41%Possession58%
29%Territory43%
7%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.09
7.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.