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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18

Clermont Foot

CLE

Saint-Étienne

SAI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Clermont Foot23%
Draw26%
Saint-Étienne51%

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.64

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0111.8%
  • 1111.7%
  • 129.6%
  • 028.9%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Clermont Foot will have the ball; Saint-Étienne will not mind.

60%Possession52%
29%Territory36%
14%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.6%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.