Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Clermont Foot
CLE
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Clermont Foot19%
Draw26%
Saint-Étienne55%
Expected goals
0.86 – 1.62
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.0%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Saint-Étienne get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession57%
38%Territory44%
13%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Clermont Foot
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.