Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Boulogne
BOU
Sochaux
SOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boulogne55%
Draw27%
Sochaux18%
Expected goals
1.54 – 0.80
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.3%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–011.0%
- 0–010.6%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession50%
37%Territory29%
31%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.07
7.6%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 2 for Sochaux. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.