Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Saint-Étienne51%
Draw29%
Boulogne20%
Expected goals
1.37 – 0.79
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.2%
- 0–012.7%
- 1–112.4%
- 2–010.3%
- 0–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Saint-Étienne will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
57%Possession41%
44%Territory37%
30%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.4%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Saint-Étienne, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.