Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Saint-Étienne67%
Draw20%
Boulogne14%
Expected goals
2.19 – 0.93
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.7%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Saint-Étienne will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
52%Possession40%
36%Territory30%
11%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Saint-Étienne, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Saint-Étienne
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.