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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17

Sochaux

SOC

Rodez

ROD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sochaux35%
Draw26%
Rodez38%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.50

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.7%
  • 128.4%
  • 018.3%
  • 218.1%
  • 108.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rodez will have the ball; Sochaux will not mind.

43%Possession53%
29%Territory49%
12%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.07
6.1%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.