Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17
Sochaux
SOC
Rodez
ROD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux29%
Draw24%
Rodez46%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.82
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–17.0%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession31%
29%Territory33%
15%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.12
7.4%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sochaux, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 97 matches, not the full season.