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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17

Red Star

RED

Annecy FC

ANN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Red Star41%
Draw29%
Annecy FC30%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.13

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

53%Possession39%
37%Territory30%
17%From set plays8%
0.06Chance quality0.13
5.2%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Red Star, 3 for Annecy FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 97 matches, not the full season.