Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17
Red Star
RED
Annecy FC
ANN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star48%
Draw26%
Annecy FC27%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.21
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession52%
33%Territory34%
17%From set plays21%
0.15Chance quality0.12
3.6%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Red Star, 3 for Annecy FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.