Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17
Nantes
NAN
Metz
MET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nantes40%
Draw27%
Metz33%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.35
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Metz will have the ball; Nantes will not mind.
47%Possession57%
34%Territory41%
31%From set plays23%
0.11Chance quality0.11
6.1%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nantes, 3 for Metz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.