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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17

Nancy

NAC

Grenoble

GRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nancy45%
Draw29%
Grenoble26%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.00

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.1%
  • 1112.9%
  • 0010.5%
  • 019.3%
  • 218.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nancy will have the ball; Grenoble will not mind.

54%Possession40%
44%Territory27%
46%From set plays6%
0.09Chance quality0.11
4.5%Directness10.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nancy, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.