Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17
Nancy
NAC
Grenoble
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy57%
Draw25%
Grenoble18%
Expected goals
1.75 – 0.92
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.6%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession44%
37%Territory30%
15%From set plays44%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nancy, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.