Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17
Montpellier
MON
Clermont Foot
CLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier46%
Draw31%
Clermont Foot23%
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.84
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.7%
- 0–013.4%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–19.9%
- 2–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
65%Possession60%
37%Territory29%
44%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Clermont Foot. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.