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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17

Laval

LAV

Guingamp

GUI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Laval27%
Draw22%
Guingamp50%

Expected goals

1.55 – 2.09

Over 2.5

69%

Both to score

70%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 128.9%
  • 118.8%
  • 226.9%
  • 216.4%
  • 136.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.

60%Possession46%
44%Territory30%
31%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.16
5.7%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.