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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 17

Laval

LAV

Guingamp

GUI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Laval35%
Draw27%
Guingamp38%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.41

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.

59%Possession45%
39%Territory41%
46%From set plays4%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.