Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Rodez
ROD
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez38%
Draw28%
Red Star34%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.31
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
31%Possession53%
33%Territory37%
12%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.06
10.5%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 2 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Red Star
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.