Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Rodez
ROD
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez31%
Draw25%
Red Star45%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.77
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rodez get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession52%
49%Territory33%
36%From set plays17%
0.07Chance quality0.15
4.5%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.