Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Montpellier
MON
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier40%
Draw27%
Guingamp34%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.37
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.
65%Possession46%
37%Territory30%
44%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.16
5.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.