Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Montpellier
MON
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier42%
Draw27%
Guingamp31%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.28
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.
61%Possession45%
30%Territory41%
7%From set plays4%
0.15Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.