Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Metz
MET
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Metz38%
Draw28%
Nancy34%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.29
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession54%
29%Territory44%
24%From set plays46%
0.10Chance quality0.09
9.7%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Metz, 3 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.