Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Metz
MET
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Metz34%
Draw27%
Nancy39%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.46
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–28.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession50%
41%Territory36%
23%From set plays43%
0.11Chance quality0.09
8.2%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Metz, 3 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.