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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16

Grenoble

GRE

Sochaux

SOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grenoble43%
Draw27%
Sochaux30%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.25

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–17.9%
  • 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Grenoble get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession49%
30%Territory34%
44%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.8%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Sochaux. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.