Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Dunkerque
DUN
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque38%
Draw29%
Boulogne32%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.15
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dunkerque will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
56%Possession41%
31%Territory37%
30%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.