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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16

Dijon

DIJ

Nantes

NAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dijon53%
Draw23%
Nantes23%

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.26

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dijon will have the ball; Nantes will not mind.

57%Possession47%
42%Territory34%
28%From set plays31%
0.15Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Dijon, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.