Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Dijon
DIJ
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dijon37%
Draw24%
Nantes39%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.76
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–17.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nantes will have the ball; Dijon will not mind.
47%Possession58%
31%Territory43%
16%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dijon, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.