Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Annecy FC
ANN
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Annecy FC31%
Draw25%
Saint-Étienne44%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.3%
- 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession52%
34%Territory36%
21%From set plays11%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Annecy FC, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.