Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Sochaux
SOC
Montpellier
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux28%
Draw30%
Montpellier42%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.29
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.2%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–011.3%
- 1–010.1%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Sochaux will not mind.
43%Possession65%
29%Territory37%
12%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sochaux
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.