Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Sochaux
SOC
Montpellier
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux24%
Draw25%
Montpellier51%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.71
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.3%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Sochaux will not mind.
48%Possession61%
30%Territory30%
15%From set plays7%
0.05Chance quality0.15
6.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.