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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15

Red Star

RED

Grenoble

GRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Red Star60%
Draw23%
Grenoble17%

Expected goals

1.86 – 0.92

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.1%
  • 2010.6%
  • 1110.5%
  • 219.9%
  • 006.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Red Star will have the ball; Grenoble will not mind.

52%Possession40%
33%Territory27%
17%From set plays6%
0.15Chance quality0.11
3.6%Directness10.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Red Star, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.