Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Red Star
RED
Grenoble
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star56%
Draw26%
Grenoble18%
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.83
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–011.0%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–19.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession44%
37%Territory30%
17%From set plays44%
0.06Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Red Star, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Red Star
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.