Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Nantes
NAN
Annecy FC
ANN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nantes31%
Draw27%
Annecy FC43%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.54
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession52%
43%Territory34%
26%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nantes, 3 for Annecy FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.