Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Nancy
NAC
Clermont Foot
CLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy40%
Draw31%
Clermont Foot29%
Expected goals
1.18 – 0.98
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–012.9%
- 0–111.2%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession60%
44%Territory29%
46%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nancy, 3 for Clermont Foot. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.